You have taken a fancy to a product on the website of an overseas company far in the sky, and you place an order online and make some personalized modification requirements. The other party’s AI will send you a modified design drawing.3D printingThe machine prints out and the product is in hand. Everything is done in a few minutes.
3D printing
Reconstruction of the world order, 50% of manufactured products will be available in 2060
3D printing
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3D printing
Reconstruction of the world order, 50% of manufactured products will be available in 2060
3D printing
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For ordinary people, this may still be far away. But in the eyes of the experts of the World Economic Forum, maybe in more than ten years, all of this will become a reality.
E-commerce makes trade more convenient, and3D printingEmerging technologies such as, AI, etc. may subvert traditional trade methods. Zvika Krieger, director of technology policy and partnerships at the World Economic Forum, told a reporter from China Business News that this may change the global manufacturing map and trade methods, and may become a serious political issue.
“Although the impact will not be immediately apparent, countries should pay attention as soon as possible, especially those that dominate manufacturing and trade.” Fan Ziyang, head of the Digital Trade Project at the Center of the Fourth Industrial Revolution of the World Economic Forum, hopes that the media will be able to arouse Everyone attaches great importance to this topic.
The “New Trade” Era
On July 2, the latest statistics of 555 German companies by the German Federal Information and Communication and New Media Industry Association (BITKOM) showed that 32% of German companies would use3D printingTechnology. In 2018, this ratio was 28%, and in 2016 it was only 20%.
At the same time, 78% of surveyed companies believe that3D printingIt may have a profound impact on the business model and value chain, which is 8% higher than last year.
At the Annual Meeting of the New Champions of the World Economic Forum held on July 1-3, Canadian Minister of Small Business and Export Promotion Wu Fengyi said: “In the future, the impact of technology on trade will exceed tariffs.3D printingTechnology alone will reduce commodity trade by up to 40%; and by 2030, blockchain will increase international trade by US$3 trillion. “
According to a 2017 report issued by ABN AMRO Bank and Financial Services Corporation (ING), by 2060, 50% of manufactured goods can pass3D printingOf course, this ratio may even be completed as early as 2040.
Krieger believes that 3D technology may develop faster than these predictions. “Currently using3D printingThere are still relatively few cases, and the relevant infrastructure does not currently exist. But I think the situation may change dramatically in the next 10-15 years. “Krieger is the first representative of the U.S. government to Silicon Valley.
“Traditional trade is manufactured in country A and shipped to country B for sale.3D printingIf it is printed directly in Country B, no import is required, and the trade volume will obviously decrease. Fan Ziyang said. He was previously engaged in legal work in international trade.
Not only that,3D printingIt will also change manufacturing, design and production methods. “For example, for a GE engine, the traditional production method requires 855 spare parts to be produced and then assembled.3D printingThere are only 12 parts, which will have a transformative impact on the supply chain and suppliers at all levels. Fan Ziyang said that this issue has not yet attracted widespread attention.
Taxation challenge
“current,3D printingThe cost is still very high, and can not produce all the things we need. But in the next 10 years,3D printingThe cost will drop, and more and more products can be produced. “Krieger said,3D printingThe popularity of it may bring many challenges.
As described at the beginning of this article, when Haitao products can be purchased through e-commerce and manufactured in one’s own home, issues such as customs and intellectual property protection of traditional trade need to be reconsidered.
“If the imported goods are no longer physical goods, but a design or code, just a piece of data, how will customs collect taxes? How will the intellectual property rights and copyrights of non-physical goods be protected, and how will the business model of the company change?” Krieger believes These are the risks that technology may bring.
Take tariffs as an example. Yao Jiayuan, director of media operations of the International Union of Customs Academies, told the reporter of “China Business News”,3D printingThe emergence and popularization of technology has indeed posed new challenges to the customs supervision and customs clearance model. “3D printingThe customs valuation challenge brought by technology lies in3D printingThe types of products are uncontrollable in the customs clearance process, and regardless of the general taxation, it will have a huge impact on the goods subject to the sliding tax rate.exist3D printingIn the future of large-scale popularization of technology, the key to reasonable valuation and guaranteeing tariff revenue lies in the3D printingDifferentiated tax management can be carried out by the machine. This can be distinguished by referring to the tax rate of cosmetics in postal items, and higher tax rates are imposed on printers with more functions and more professional. “
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